{"id":835,"date":"2026-09-23T21:51:24","date_gmt":"2026-09-23T21:51:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/?p=835"},"modified":"2026-09-23T21:51:24","modified_gmt":"2026-09-23T21:51:24","slug":"mansur-yavas-mi-erdogan-mi-son-ankette-carpici-sonuclar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/mansur-yavas-mi-erdogan-mi-son-ankette-carpici-sonuclar\/","title":{"rendered":"Mansur Yava\u015f m\u0131, Erdo\u011fan m\u0131? Son ankette \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\t\t<style>\n\t\t\t#gallery-1 {\n\t\t\t\tmargin: auto;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t\t#gallery-1 .gallery-item {\n\t\t\t\tfloat: left;\n\t\t\t\tmargin-top: 10px;\n\t\t\t\ttext-align: center;\n\t\t\t\twidth: 33%;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t\t#gallery-1 img {\n\t\t\t\tborder: 2px solid #cfcfcf;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t\t#gallery-1 .gallery-caption {\n\t\t\t\tmargin-left: 0;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t\t\/* see gallery_shortcode() in wp-includes\/media.php *\/\n\t\t<\/style>\n\t\t<div id='gallery-1' class='gallery galleryid-835 gallery-columns-3 gallery-size-thumbnail'><dl class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<dt class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/mansur-yavas-mi-erdogan-mi-son-ankette-carpici-sonuclar\/sdw\/'><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/sdw-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"\" aria-describedby=\"gallery-1-836\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/dt>\n\t\t\t\t<dd class='wp-caption-text gallery-caption' id='gallery-1-836'>\n\t\t\t\tANK-AR Ara\u015ft\u0131rma\u2019n\u0131n A\u011fustos 2026 tarihli \u201cSe\u00e7men G\u00fcndemi\u201d ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda, olas\u0131 Mansur Yava\u015f\u2013Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan yar\u0131\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 47,7\u2019si Yava\u015f, y\u00fczde 32,1\u2019i ise Erdo\u011fan yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verdi. \u0130ki aday aras\u0131ndaki fark 15,6 puan olarak hesapland\u0131.\n\nANKARA \u2013 ANK-AR Ara\u015ft\u0131rma\u2019n\u0131n A\u011fustos 2026 tarihli \u201cSe\u00e7men G\u00fcndemi\u201d ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, olas\u0131 bir cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yar\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Mansur Yava\u015f ile Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan aras\u0131ndaki tercihleri ortaya koydu. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 47,7\u2019si Yava\u015f, y\u00fczde 32,1\u2019i ise Erdo\u011fan dedi. \u0130ki aday aras\u0131ndaki fark 15,6 puan olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc.\n\nAra\u015ft\u0131rmada kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 10,8\u2019i oy kullanmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtirken, karars\u0131zlar\u0131n oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 4,5, \u201cfikrim yok\/cevap yok\u201d diyenlerin oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 4,9 oldu. Parti se\u00e7menlerinin tercihleri de dikkat \u00e7ekici sonu\u00e7lar verdi. AK Parti se\u00e7menlerinin y\u00fczde 84,4\u2019\u00fc Erdo\u011fan derken, y\u00fczde 8,8\u2019i Yava\u015f yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verdi. CHP se\u00e7menlerinde ise Yava\u015f\u2019\u0131n oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 79,3, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 5,6 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. DEM Parti se\u00e7menlerinin y\u00fczde 28,7\u2019si Yava\u015f, y\u00fczde 23,6\u2019s\u0131 ise Erdo\u011fan dedi.\n\nPeki, ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n detaylar\u0131 ne g\u00f6steriyor? Hangi se\u00e7men grubu nas\u0131l tercih yapt\u0131? \u0130\u015fte t\u00fcm detaylar\u2026\n\nT\u00fcm detaylar, parti bazl\u0131 tercihler ve ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n analizi 2. sayfada\u2026\n\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/dd><\/dl><dl class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<dt class='gallery-icon portrait'>\n\t\t\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/mansur-yavas-mi-erdogan-mi-son-ankette-carpici-sonuclar\/gfdrewsd\/'><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gfdrewsd-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"\" aria-describedby=\"gallery-1-837\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/dt>\n\t\t\t\t<dd class='wp-caption-text gallery-caption' id='gallery-1-837'>\n\t\t\t\tAra\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n genel sonu\u00e7lar\u0131\nANK-AR Ara\u015ft\u0131rma\u2019n\u0131n A\u011fustos 2026 tarihli \u201cSe\u00e7men G\u00fcndemi\u201d ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lara olas\u0131 bir Mansur Yava\u015f\u2013Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan yar\u0131\u015f\u0131nda tercihleri soruldu. Sonu\u00e7lar \u015fu \u015fekilde:\n\nAday Oy Oran\u0131\nMansur Yava\u015f %47,7\nRecep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan %32,1\nOy kullanmayacak %10,8\nKarars\u0131z %4,5\nFikrim yok\/Cevap yok %4,9\n\u0130ki aday aras\u0131ndaki fark 15,6 puan olarak hesapland\u0131.\n\nParti se\u00e7menlerinin tercihleri\nAra\u015ft\u0131rmada parti se\u00e7menlerinin tercihleri de ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kan sonu\u00e7lar \u015f\u00f6yle:\n\nAK Parti se\u00e7menleri: Y\u00fczde 84,4\u2019\u00fc Erdo\u011fan, y\u00fczde 8,8\u2019i Yava\u015f dedi.\n\nCHP se\u00e7menleri: Y\u00fczde 79,3\u2019\u00fc Yava\u015f, y\u00fczde 5,6\u2019s\u0131 Erdo\u011fan dedi.\n\nDEM Parti se\u00e7menleri: Y\u00fczde 28,7\u2019si Yava\u015f, y\u00fczde 23,6\u2019s\u0131 Erdo\u011fan dedi.\n\nBu sonu\u00e7lar, \u00f6zellikle DEM Parti se\u00e7menindeki b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f tercihin dikkat \u00e7ekici oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nSe\u00e7men davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 analizi\nAra\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re, Yava\u015f\u2019\u0131n Erdo\u011fan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k ara \u00f6nde g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesinin arkas\u0131nda, muhalefet se\u00e7meninin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra AK Parti\u2019den kopan se\u00e7menin de etkili oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendiriliyor. AK Parti se\u00e7meninin y\u00fczde 8,8\u2019inin Yava\u015f demesi, iktidar partisi i\u00e7inde bir erozyona i\u015faret ediyor. \u00d6te yandan CHP se\u00e7meninin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde Yava\u015f\u2019ta birle\u015fmesi, muhalefetin aday belirleme s\u00fcrecinde Yava\u015f\u2019\u0131n ne kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir isim oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nDEM Parti se\u00e7menindeki tablo ise daha karma\u015f\u0131k. Y\u00fczde 28,7\u2019nin Yava\u015f demesi, DEM se\u00e7meninin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n Yava\u015f\u2019a s\u0131cak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterirken, y\u00fczde 23,6\u2019n\u0131n Erdo\u011fan demesi ise bu se\u00e7men grubunun homojen olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.\n\nOy kullanmayacaklar ve karars\u0131zlar\nAra\u015ft\u0131rmada dikkat \u00e7eken bir di\u011fer nokta ise oy kullanmayacaklar\u0131n oran\u0131 oldu. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 10,8\u2019i oy kullanmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtirken, karars\u0131zlar\u0131n oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 4,5, \u201cfikrim yok\/cevap yok\u201d diyenlerin oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 4,9 oldu. Bu oranlar, se\u00e7im d\u00f6neminde karars\u0131z se\u00e7menin belirleyici olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nAra\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n metodolojisi\nANK-AR Ara\u015ft\u0131rma\u2019n\u0131n A\u011fustos 2026 tarihli \u201cSe\u00e7men G\u00fcndemi\u201d ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n metodolojisine ili\u015fkin detayl\u0131 bilgi payla\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131. Ancak ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye genelinde yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n olas\u0131 bir yar\u0131\u015fa ili\u015fkin tercihlerinin soruldu\u011fu \u00f6\u011frenildi. Sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n, se\u00e7im d\u00f6nemine yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131k\u00e7a de\u011fi\u015febilece\u011fi ve anketlerin yaln\u0131zca birer foto\u011fraf oldu\u011fu unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r.\n\nBu haber, ANK-AR Ara\u015ft\u0131rma\u2019n\u0131n A\u011fustos 2026 tarihli \u201cSe\u00e7men G\u00fcndemi\u201d ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 esas al\u0131narak taraf\u0131m\u0131zdan derlenmi\u015ftir. Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, se\u00e7men tercihlerinin anl\u0131k bir yans\u0131mas\u0131d\u0131r ve se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 garanti etmez.\n\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/dd><\/dl>\n\t\t\t<br style='clear: both' \/>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":836,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-foto-galeri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=835"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/835\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":959,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/835\/revisions\/959"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/836"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizcakmak.com\/hbr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}